Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 8.032354 9.187266 10.463508 11.980740 13.738340 15.713901 18.107767
2025-07-13 6.650942 8.187941 10.025629 12.393679 15.377250 19.028465 23.861196
2025-07-20 5.783716 7.507689 9.689882 12.672711 16.671665 21.886545 29.265713
2025-07-27 5.249690 7.116587 9.593102 13.147903 18.167581 25.073635 35.417362
2025-08-03 4.591195 6.451650 9.017684 12.854909 18.515687 26.665863 39.481398
2025-08-10 4.099439 5.947082 8.585274 12.677555 18.956936 28.377413 43.862084
2025-08-17 3.698996 5.522458 8.208922 12.517085 19.369710 30.046066 48.329630
2025-08-24 3.353225 5.138822 7.845750 12.321275 19.679949 31.553147 52.678576
2025-08-31 3.047245 4.783323 7.485294 12.080464 19.871916 32.860700 56.814899
2025-09-07 2.934719 4.720245 7.574483 12.570560 21.313455 36.387296 65.239795
2025-09-14 2.765618 4.547500 7.465918 12.710401 22.157182 38.956861 72.237896
2025-09-21 2.583648 4.335835 7.270895 12.675817 22.677943 40.989194 78.459738
2025-09-28 2.395851 4.100980 7.020306 12.525936 22.987135 42.693025 84.328925
2025-10-05 2.314830 4.045079 7.075999 12.937179 24.388845 46.622687 95.229201
2025-10-12 2.222320 3.959770 7.069738 13.228254 25.584041 50.275693 106.050415
2025-10-19 2.165428 3.933785 7.167876 13.725950 27.237885 55.036386 119.943282
2025-10-26 2.008507 3.708092 6.872768 13.419029 27.211745 56.293110 126.130405
2025-11-02 1.880789 3.527721 6.648977 13.233259 27.416295 58.057759 133.730457
2025-11-09 1.766229 3.363826 6.443667 13.065183 27.638281 59.878946 141.713796
2025-11-16 1.657204 3.202509 6.230490 12.860103 27.755536 61.472456 149.356128
2025-11-23 1.552169 3.041391 6.005131 12.607907 27.739472 62.752679 156.381809
2025-11-30 1.531188 3.049259 6.125799 13.121191 29.530271 68.498968 175.918679
2025-12-07 1.475932 2.981970 6.084054 13.267663 30.474610 72.306697 190.835067